Election Predictions Thread

Well, we've certainly talked this election to death. Time to to put up or shut up: what are your predictions for Tuesday? Here are mine (please remember, these are predictions, not endorsements):

National:

• Obama wins, garnering more than 50% of the popular vote and a total of 282 electoral votes. He wins Virginia, New Mexico, Nevada, Iowa, and the Kerry states. McCain takes the remainder of the "battleground" states, including Ohio and Florida.
• The Democrats pick up 5 Senate seats and 15-20 House seats.
• Steve Driehaus beats Steve Chabot.
• Jean Schmidt beats Wulsin and that other guy.

Ohio:

• Cordray wins the AG race.
• Issue 5 (essentially eliminating payday lending) fails.
• Issue 6 (permitting a casino) fails.
• Justices Stratton and O'Connor hold on to their seats on the Supreme Court, probably by 10 or more points each.

Hamilton County:

• Greg Hartmann is elected county commissioner. Todd Portune also wins, although in a very close contest (probably no more than a 4-point victory).
• Bob Goering is re-elected treasurer and Rebecca Groppe is re-elected recorder.
• Martha Good is elected Clerk of Courts.
• Pat Dewine is elected judge. Judge Nelson is re-elected. The race between Judge Luebbers and Judge Mock is too close to call (that race alone may force the counting of provisional ballots).

City of Cincinnati:

• Issue 7 (banning red-light cameras) passes.
• Issue 8 (re-instituting Council elections through proportional representation elections) fails, thanks to late radio spots and direct mail efforts.

What do y'all think?