Monday, September 28, 2020

Generational Voting Segments in Hamilton County, Ohio

 I know there are other nerds out there who wonder which generations vote locally?  I let loose a little bit of my Nerdiness on a spreadsheet and created the chart and table displayed below. They detail the last two federal elections and breaks down the generations listed on the Hamilton County Registered Voter listing as of 09/25/2020.

Sunday, September 27, 2020

September City Council Candidates Update

We are over 13 months away from the next City Election, so I think it's time to update the listing of Council Candidates. As you will see, things have changed quite a bit since my last update 6 months ago.

We have a shit ton of candidates at this stage that are considered "Announced."  I say they are announced with a massive salt lick to go with that determination.  You see, the Cincinnati Enquirer ran a story and a follow up story providing a listing of candidates who they deemed have "Announced" their candidacy for Cincinnati City Council. They had a short bio with a few indicative data points about each candidate along with a picture for most. Not a bad couple of stories.  The only problem is that they didn't indicate how any of the candidates made an announcement. A large contingent of the announced candidate haven't even created a Facebook page for their campaign.  That is free to anyone, but some haven't done that, even after they provided information to a reporter working on a story that was going to get them more press than they will get again..  Getting off to a non-start is not a good way to announce your candidacy.

I have included everyone the Enquirer listed on my list.  Most were ones I already had, but they have included several that were new to me and had no online presence I could find. For this update I have not segmented any type of analysis as to whom may have more of a viable candidacy than other candidates, except that I grouped the incumbents and announced candidates separate from the might run prior candidates or the still couple of rumored candidates that were out there. 

There won't be must churn on this list until next year when fundraising and signature gathering starts in earnest.

Greg Landsman (D)
Jan-Michele Lemon Kearney (D)
Jeff Pastor (R)
Betsy Sundermann (R)

Announced Candidates
Jalen Alford (I?)
Derek Bauman (D,C)
Derrick Blassingame (R)
Michael Cappel (D)
Britton Carter (D)
Jeff Cramerding (D)
Michelle Dillingham (D)
Ryan DuPree (D)
Christine Fisher (D)
Manuel Foggie (D)
Bill Frost (C)
Brian Garry (D)
Cam Hardy (D,C)
Reggie Harris (D)
Evan Holt (I)
Dani Isaacsohn (D)
James Jenkins (I)
Scotty Johnson (D)
Liz Keating (R)
Rayshon Mack (R)
Dale Mallory (D)
Linda Matthews (R)
Meeka Owens (D)
Dadrien Washington (D)
McKinzie Wright (I)

Prior Candidates Who Might Run
Henry Frondorf (I?)
Seth Maney (R)
Kelli Prather (I)
Laure Quinlivan (D)

Rumored Or Speculated Candidates
Steve Goodin (R)
Matt Woods (C)

Candidate Twitter List: I have created a list of candidates on Twitter. Here is the actual list Twitter handles for the candidates.

As always:  If anyone has any other names please send them my way ( or if anyone named above wants to confirm they are not running, I'll remove them future postings of this list. If there are other social media or full websites I don't list, send them along as well.

* = Incumbent
‡ = On Ballot (signatures turned in)
D= Democratic Party
R= Republican Party
C= Charter Committee (aka Charter Party)
G= Green Party
I= Independent
?= I am speculating based on my reading of the information and observations available to me.