If you want a simple representation of the Macro analysis of the election, all you have to do is compare this to a few other counties in Ohio:
Turnout fell in suburban counties, but less than it dropped in the urban county. The hypothesis that follows is that Republican votes retained more from 2020, while Democratic votes dropped. The two data points that are available for additional review are age and race. Race is very limited, as it relies on census data in a precinct and can't be tied directly to voter's data. When looking at areas with a majority black population, there is a larger drop in turnout. The difference is over 2%, which while significant, is not conclusive with the sourcing of the data. Age, on the other hand, can be tied directly to voters.
Here is a breakdown by generation within Hamilton County.
This data is based off of the Registered voter database. That data is live and not exactly the same as certified results, but the total differential is at most a few hundred. My definition of each generation is consistent by year. The inflated size of the Boomer generation is tied to the commonly accepted period of the "Baby Boom" and rounded up to 20 years. Using 15 years for all other subsequent generations, as well as the Silent generation, provides for reasonable consideration of a generation.
Changes in registration numbers for Zoomers and Millennials contributes to some of their variation. Millennials had a significantly higher drop in registrations than GenX. This would follow logically if you consider that Millennials are more likely to be either newer parents moving to the Exurbs or more likely moving farther away for work. Additionally, since they have not been consistent voters, they could also be more likely to have been purged for inactivity or other partisan targeting.
Zoomers had a natural increase in registration, as more people reach age 18, but the turnout lagged far more than older generations. Young voters in Hamilton County continue their propensity to have lower turnout.
