Dem Sweep in Ohio?

Kos is pointing to Dispatch poll that indicates huge leads in every statewide race.

I think for Governor and for Senator, most agree the Dems will win, but will the Dems take the rest of the statewide offices?

If the Dems do take everything statewide, what does that do to Ohio for the Presidential race in 2008? Does the GOP write off the state now and focus on Pennsylvania or Wisconsin? Do the Dems focus on Virginia if Webb wins?

My Picks For Tuesday's Election

Office	My Picks/Analysis
Governor/Lt Governor; State of Ohio
Larry Bay/Debra K. Fries, Independent (Write-In)
J. Kenneth Blackwell/Thomas Raga, Republican
Robert Fitrakis/Anita Rios, Independent
William S. Peirce/Mark M. Noble, Independent
Ted Strickland/Lee Fisher, Democratic	Will and Should Win
James Lundeen/Kevin Becker (Write-In)
Attorney General; State of Ohio
Marc Dann, Democratic	Should Win
Betty Montgomery, Republican	Will Win
Auditor of State; State of Ohio
Barbara Sykes, Democratic	Will and Should Win
Mary Taylor, Republican
Secretary of State; State of Ohio
Greg Hartmann, Republican
John A. Eastman, Independent
Jennifer L. Brunner, Democratic	Will and Should Win
Timothy J. Kettler, Independent
Treasurer of State; State of Ohio
Sandra O'Brien, Republican
Richard Cordray, Democratic	Will and Should Win
US Representative; OH District 1	Too Close to Call
John Cranley, Democratic	Should Win
Steve Chabot, Republican
US Representative; OH District 2	Too Close to Call
Nathon Noy (Write-In)
James J. Condit, Jr. (Write-In)
Jean Schmidt, Republican
Victoria Wulsin, Democratic	Should Win
United States Senate - Ohio
Sherrod Brown, Democratic	Will and Should Win
Richard Duncan, Independent (Write-In)
Mike DeWine, Republican
OhioState Representative; District 34
Stephen E. Silver, Democratic	Should Win
Tom Brinkman, Jr., Republican	Will Win
Ohio State Senator; District 7
Rick Smith, Democratic	Should Win
Robert Schuler, Republican	Will Win
Judge; Ohio State Supreme Court; 6 Year Term Starting 1/1/07	No Idea Who'll Win
William Michael O'Neill	Should Win
Terrence O'Donnell
Judge; Ohio State Supreme Court; 6 Year Term Starting 1/2/07	No Idea Who'll Win
Robert R. Cupp
Ben Espy	Should Win
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/9/07
Mark Painter	Will and Should Win
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/10/07
Patrick Dinkelacker	No Idea Who'll Win
James T. O'Reilly
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/11/07
J. Howard Sundermann, Jr.	Will Win, duh!
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/12/07
Penelope Cunningham	Will Win, duh!
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, General Division; 6 Year Term Starting 1/1/07 other sites
Steve Martin	Will Win, duh!
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, General Division; 6 Year Term Starting 04/01/07 (2 Elected)
Dennis S. Helmick
William L. Mallory, Jr.	Will and Should Win
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, General Division; Unexpired 6 Year Term Ending 02/08/09
Robert C. Winkler
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, Juvenile Division
Karla Grady	Will Win, duh!
Member; State Board of Education; District 4	No Idea Who'll Win
G. R. Schloemer
John Hritz
County Commissioner ; County of Hamilton
Phil Heimlich, Republican
David Pepper, Democratic	Will and Should Win
County Auditor ; County of Hamilton
Dusty Rhodes , Democratic	Dino Dusty Will Not Get My Vote

DeWine Desperate

"It's Bad" Those are DeWine's own words. He is right, what he did on Hardball is really bad. When you stoop to this level of crap, you reveal your desperation for power. Mike DeWine was not a bad Senator. This episode goes along way to make he a horrible Senator.


[Via Eschaton]

CCV Voting Guide

If you want a laugh, check out Phil Burress's GOP HandoutVoter Guide for my zipcode.

Virtually none of the Democrats returned the survey. I don't blame them, but how is this any kind of objective guide?

Wulsin Leading Schmidt

Another Poll has Dr. Wulsin leading Jean Schmidt in the race for the Ohio 2nd, 48% to 45% (7 % undecided) This is within the MOE (4%), but if Jean is not getting 50% in the rest of the polls for this race, she is seriously in trouble.

If Wulsin takes this seat, I think most people would agree the Dems will gain 40 Plus seats. This race is one the GOP shouldn't have to worry about at all. It is a clear sign that the Independents have shifted this time around in large numbers. They are fickle, but they appear to be leaning Dem. Wulsin may still lose, but most GOP office holders in the 2nd are going to lose votes this time around.

[Via Kos]

WLW Fires Furman

The Fur Ball, Andy Furman has been fired by 700 WLW-AM.

Daily Show - Elitist Scum! (wink)

If you think like John Stewart and the Daily Show:

"'The Daily Show' correspondents Samantha Bee, Dan Bakkendahl and Jason Jones drew huge laughs claiming to be reporting live from Applebee's restaurants in cities around the state, while actually standing near Stewart in the studio."

I guess that makes you elitist scum.

A Gift That Keeps On Giving

When you raise the population, you cut the crime rate.

Rudy Too Late

Rudy Gulianni is coming to town support Mike DeWine. Plane fare for Rudy appears to be all they can afford to spend on Mike's campaign. I'm getting a ton of 8x11 postcards from the RNC trying to scare me to not vote for Wulsin. Mike has taken a back seat to Mean Jean.

City Growth

The City of Cincinnati is stopping the bleeding. We have an opportunity now to grow. What is it going to take? Attitude is one thing. What else?

Enquirer Endorses Cranley

This to me is somewhat of a shocker. Logic and Conventional Wisdom stated that the Enquirer would have endorsed Chabot, but this year the Enquirer is all over the map on the national offices. They will pick some Democrats in local races, especially in the City, but not for people going to Washington.

In comparison to the 2nd district, Chabot has much more experience and has far less baggage than Mean Jean Schmidt. Jean however got the nod for office, but not Chabot. This contradiction is strong evidence that these picks are made with social, political, and personal overtones, not based on the qualifications or performance on the job of the candidate. Yea, the Enquirer claims they pick each race individually, sure, but they have agenda items in play other than the fitness for office or policies of the candidate.

This endorsement is going to make a difference in the 1st district. The West Siders not happy with Bush, the War, or being left behind in the Bush Economy will use this as another reason to believe Cranley passes the West Side Litmus test for political office.

Combing the Blogs

Take Back Cincinnati has this little gem.

Mean Jean Likes Glow in the Dark Ohio

I guess Mean Jean Schmidt's fashion sense has gone to her head. She somehow thinks that a dayglow look is what Ohio needs. I think Schmidt is insane for even wanting to study the idea of storing the world's Nuclear waste in Southern Ohio. It will be entertaining to hear the Republicans claim this would be good. Well, a few dollars in a few people's pockets now, is not going to cover the environmental loss for the next 10,000 years.

Enquirer Endorses Schmidt and There's Gambling

No one should be shocked that the Enquirer endorsed Schmidt for Congress in the 2nd District. What is amazing is that like with their endorsement of Ken Blackwell they gave more than enough reasons for why Schmidt is a bad choice for Congress. Their endorsement is one made in part because of party and the fact that they endorsed her in the past.

Cranley and Crowley

Regression - Phil's Poor Tax

Screw the Poor! Issue 12 proposes increase the sales tax in Hamilton County. This is in conjunction with lowering the property tax. This a regressive tax plan out to shift the burden of government more to the poor. This is a bed-rock Republican Plan. If you can't destroy government, make someone else pay for it!

Mean Jean: Don't Show Me Being a Puppet!!

Mean Jean Schmidt is writing letters to Dr. Victoria Wulsin claiming that rules covering sitting members of Congress somehow apply to non-members of Congress.

In the letter referenced on Atrios, Schmidt states that "use of footage from official proceedings of the House of Representatives is forbidden in political ads."

She then goes on to say "..it is a dangerous thing when political figures decide for themselves which rules and laws they will honor."

Mean Jean needs to learn the difference between a House Rule and a law. There's a slight (and by that I mean MOTHERF-ing HUGE) difference. I would have thought that a year in office might teach her that. I guess not.

She begs the question however: What about President Bush? Why didn't Mean Jean Schmidt write a letter to President Bush when he decided for himself that the U. S. Constitution does not apply to him? Schmidt is contemptible and is showing her ignorance. The Post is right!

Heartless Bastards Getting More Buzz

Glad to see the Bastard's tour getting some media attention. If you have not bought their first two albums, Do it NOW!

OK, WOW!

SurveyUSA poll has brown up 20 points - 57% to 37% over DeWine. That is an amazing lead in a race I always believe would be close down to the wire. Time is not over, but the money reportedly is not coming in for Mike DeWine.

UPDATE: On Kos we learn that the GOP is just throwing in the towel.

Bigots in Mason, Still

Once again we see hate spill into public in Mason. Mason school board member Jennifer Miller is a theocratic fascist. Yes, boys and girls, Mr. Griffin has said the magic words! Sorry to disappoint anyone, but the first line of the article makes the point as a matter of fact, not one to debate.

To make matters worse, she spewed religious bigotry as a sitting school board member during a school board meeting:

We are a Christian nation, not a Muslim nation," Miller said Wednesday.

"Our Christian values have declined and yet we allow other faiths besides Christianity to have precedence in our schools," Miller said.

This is an elected official who wants to limit the religious freedom of students in the school district she is supposed to be helping run. What is she all pissed about? Well, Mason High school accommodated the religion of some of its Muslim students. During Ramadan they were allowed to meet in a different room during lunch time while they fasted for Ramadan.

When I was a child, one kid in class would be excused from class and went home when ever we held any parties, especially a Halloween party. He was a Jehovah's Witness follower. Where was the anger by the Jennifer Millers, then?

Giving these kids a private room to fast is not only fair to their and everyone else's religion (or lack there of) but it also keeps kids from acting like idiot kids.

If people want full equality, then school will be open on Saturdays and Sundays, on Christmas, and no one is excused on Good Friday.

If you have a practice, that does not involve advertising your religion to others (preaching, putting up religious signs, etc) then you have a right to personally practice that religion.

Students have the right to pray in school on their own time as they see fit, no matter what lies people like Jennifer Miller tries to say.

Guess what this is like, anyone who knows how the ADA accommodations work, they should understand how religious accommodation works. Both of those (or similar laws) apply to schools.

What Christians like Jennifer Miller must understand, you don't have the right to advertise your religion to others. Individual rights to act are what is protected. You generally don't have the right to act as a group and practice your religion. In the case of the Fasting, it ending up working best to allow the kids to do this in one place, away from the lunch room.

Side Note: To Branden at Spacetropic: You totally mischaracterized my views. When the government requires you attendance or participation in something, it must make accommodations. If they made you go to school on Sunday mornings, Christians would have to have their ability to practice their religion. Since we have Sunday's off, you don't need any accommodations in schools.