Cincinnati Fed Up with the GOP?

The numbers for both the 1st and 2nd district indicate that Cincinnati is not voting for the GOP in the numbers that the past would indicate.

Good old CW would say that the polls are wrong. Well, one poll maybe, but there are far too many polls showing Cranley up and any poll showing Wulsin has to be a sign that the GOP has lost support. Much of that support may not be gone for any significant length of time, but this election people want change.

The question that remains is how far down the food chain will this trend run? Will it hit the statehouse? Will Brinkman feel the bite? Logic I feel says no. Hardcore Brinkman supporters are likely to vote against Jean Schmidt in a protest vote, but will vote for Brinkman as well, splitting their ticket. Will ticket splitting be the norm or will people vote by party?

Dem Sweep in Ohio?

Kos is pointing to Dispatch poll that indicates huge leads in every statewide race.

I think for Governor and for Senator, most agree the Dems will win, but will the Dems take the rest of the statewide offices?

If the Dems do take everything statewide, what does that do to Ohio for the Presidential race in 2008? Does the GOP write off the state now and focus on Pennsylvania or Wisconsin? Do the Dems focus on Virginia if Webb wins?

My Picks For Tuesday's Election

Office	My Picks/Analysis
Governor/Lt Governor; State of Ohio
Larry Bay/Debra K. Fries, Independent (Write-In)
J. Kenneth Blackwell/Thomas Raga, Republican
Robert Fitrakis/Anita Rios, Independent
William S. Peirce/Mark M. Noble, Independent
Ted Strickland/Lee Fisher, Democratic	Will and Should Win
James Lundeen/Kevin Becker (Write-In)
Attorney General; State of Ohio
Marc Dann, Democratic	Should Win
Betty Montgomery, Republican	Will Win
Auditor of State; State of Ohio
Barbara Sykes, Democratic	Will and Should Win
Mary Taylor, Republican
Secretary of State; State of Ohio
Greg Hartmann, Republican
John A. Eastman, Independent
Jennifer L. Brunner, Democratic	Will and Should Win
Timothy J. Kettler, Independent
Treasurer of State; State of Ohio
Sandra O'Brien, Republican
Richard Cordray, Democratic	Will and Should Win
US Representative; OH District 1	Too Close to Call
John Cranley, Democratic	Should Win
Steve Chabot, Republican
US Representative; OH District 2	Too Close to Call
Nathon Noy (Write-In)
James J. Condit, Jr. (Write-In)
Jean Schmidt, Republican
Victoria Wulsin, Democratic	Should Win
United States Senate - Ohio
Sherrod Brown, Democratic	Will and Should Win
Richard Duncan, Independent (Write-In)
Mike DeWine, Republican
OhioState Representative; District 34
Stephen E. Silver, Democratic	Should Win
Tom Brinkman, Jr., Republican	Will Win
Ohio State Senator; District 7
Rick Smith, Democratic	Should Win
Robert Schuler, Republican	Will Win
Judge; Ohio State Supreme Court; 6 Year Term Starting 1/1/07	No Idea Who'll Win
William Michael O'Neill	Should Win
Terrence O'Donnell
Judge; Ohio State Supreme Court; 6 Year Term Starting 1/2/07	No Idea Who'll Win
Robert R. Cupp
Ben Espy	Should Win
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/9/07
Mark Painter	Will and Should Win
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/10/07
Patrick Dinkelacker	No Idea Who'll Win
James T. O'Reilly
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/11/07
J. Howard Sundermann, Jr.	Will Win, duh!
Judge; Ohio State Court of Appeals; District 1; 6 Year Term Starting 2/12/07
Penelope Cunningham	Will Win, duh!
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, General Division; 6 Year Term Starting 1/1/07 other sites
Steve Martin	Will Win, duh!
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, General Division; 6 Year Term Starting 04/01/07 (2 Elected)
Dennis S. Helmick
William L. Mallory, Jr.	Will and Should Win
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, General Division; Unexpired 6 Year Term Ending 02/08/09
Robert C. Winkler
Judge; Court of Common Pleas, Juvenile Division
Karla Grady	Will Win, duh!
Member; State Board of Education; District 4	No Idea Who'll Win
G. R. Schloemer
John Hritz
County Commissioner ; County of Hamilton
Phil Heimlich, Republican
David Pepper, Democratic	Will and Should Win
County Auditor ; County of Hamilton
Dusty Rhodes , Democratic	Dino Dusty Will Not Get My Vote

DeWine Desperate

"It's Bad" Those are DeWine's own words. He is right, what he did on Hardball is really bad. When you stoop to this level of crap, you reveal your desperation for power. Mike DeWine was not a bad Senator. This episode goes along way to make he a horrible Senator.


[Via Eschaton]

CCV Voting Guide

If you want a laugh, check out Phil Burress's GOP HandoutVoter Guide for my zipcode.

Virtually none of the Democrats returned the survey. I don't blame them, but how is this any kind of objective guide?

Wulsin Leading Schmidt

Another Poll has Dr. Wulsin leading Jean Schmidt in the race for the Ohio 2nd, 48% to 45% (7 % undecided) This is within the MOE (4%), but if Jean is not getting 50% in the rest of the polls for this race, she is seriously in trouble.

If Wulsin takes this seat, I think most people would agree the Dems will gain 40 Plus seats. This race is one the GOP shouldn't have to worry about at all. It is a clear sign that the Independents have shifted this time around in large numbers. They are fickle, but they appear to be leaning Dem. Wulsin may still lose, but most GOP office holders in the 2nd are going to lose votes this time around.

[Via Kos]

WLW Fires Furman

The Fur Ball, Andy Furman has been fired by 700 WLW-AM.